S&P 500 - 1994

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the index for 1994 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value: 466.45 Hist. Volatility: 0.47% Annual Drift: 7% Final Value: 459.27 Percentile: 22%
Click on the image for the high resolution version.

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 1994 (what's this?).